Showing posts with label westernzagraros. Show all posts
Showing posts with label westernzagraros. Show all posts

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Westernzagros CEO Interview



Since I got these videos on the blog, here's another with CEO Hatfield of Westernzagros.

The Goombarh holds Westernzagros

Friday, February 10, 2012

Kurdistan & Iraq Oil Agreement with US pressure

Kurdistan & Iraq Oil Agreement with US pressure

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U.S. Energy Influence in Iraq

February 9, 2012 | 1254 GMT

Summary
SAFIN HAMED/AFP/Getty Images
Engineers at the Khurmala oil field south of Arbil, Iraq
On Jan. 31, Baghdad withdrew its opposition to a deal between ExxonMobil and the Kurdistan Regional Government, a move that reflects the conflicts between and among Iraq's various political actors. Energy negotiations with the United States are one arena where the al-Maliki government has been forced to make significant concessions recently. Iran typically holds the upper hand when it comes to influencing Baghdad and controlling Iraq's sectarian conflicts, but it cannot compete with the investment capital and technologies that U.S. firms can bring to bear.
 
 
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If this analysis is true, then the fortunes of the oil explorers in Kurdistan has just taken a turn for the better.
 
Marco G.

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Happy Investing in 2012

Happy New Year and Investing in 2012!

As an example of what you may expect, if you get in on my email list, here it is, a recent commentary:

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Goombarh 73 - February 2, 2012
Good Morning,

It is time to get back to business folks, if you are interested in the stock market.

Since October, the general markets have recovered significantly.  The S&P500 is now at 1333, whereas the high was 1370 for last year, the highest since the 2008 crash.  That is if you were in the general markets, your portfolio should now be close to the highest since 2008, if you are an average investor.  Here is the headline from Bloomberg this morning:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-01/global-strategists-abandoning-bearish-views-after-missing-rally.html
This means there is a lot of big money, still on the sidelines that will come into the markets later and assist with driving things upwards.  Also, this is a presidential election year, and no, the president will not allow the economy to falter during his re-election push.

For myself, I invest in the riskier small cap resource stocks, and no I am not back to the highest since 2008.  The barometer for my portfolio may be the TSXV index which is at 1640 presently, a good distance of 33% off from the peak of 2464 achieved in February 2011, the highest since 2008.  In fact, I am a good 50% off from my own peak achieved in about March 2011.  What I hope to have learned from this latest episode of the markets gyrating downwards, is to take a portion of the winnings off the table, when the market is good.   This is a very important lesson to take to heart.  Preserve the cash, and redeploy later, when the markets are down.

Now back to business, the markets are moving upwards and the investor needs to be in and positioned to be able to reap the possible future gains.  Let me refresh myself as to my goals and market positioning guidelines.  Following are some guiding market thoughts collected over time.

Goombarh Strategy 2012
1.      Know something that will be valued higher in the future.
a.       shale oil - Bakken, Kurdistan oil (held back with politics)
b.      Folded porous carbonate structure allowing high producing level -Shoal Point Energy (SHP, SHPNF) - huge multi-billion barrel oil prospect; oil tests coming in 2012 and running right now.
2.      Track the trend of a commodity that is moving higher or may have a future shortage.
a.       oil, and metals; take a look at Zinc
b.      potash - Ethiopian Potash (FED, ETPHF) - shallow open pit capable deposit; 43-101 coming.
3.      Consider that the general markets are in uptrend before investing.
a.       S&P now moving upwards.
4.      Leverage carefully.
a.       Warrants, and such
b.      Petroamerica Warrants (PTAWF)
5.      Lower priced stocks move higher with easier gains.
a.       TSXV stocks, explorers and developers with solid management and properties
b.      Developers becoming producers - Silvermex (SLX, GGCRF) - producer growing larger, Great Basin Gold (GBG) - solid management and will come on stream with two producing gold mines, Westernzagros (WZR, WZGRF) - Sarquala producing 5000 barrels per day, Mil Qasm test and Kudimir 2 are coming in 2012.
6.      Consider marginal players, with bad news factored in and a change in outlook.
a.       Marginal stocks have the highest gains in a turnaround. - Petroamerica, (PTA, PTAXF) - turning into producer.
7.      Consider that market judges on growth prospects rather than absolute value
a.       market is not rational and will move on hype; so consider when to get out!  Already have getting out in mind, when you are getting in.

As to what is exciting recently, take a look at Shoal Point Energy.  Here is the chart from yesterday:


SHP has broken out and is now at .40 cents.  Here is a link to their latest corporate presentation:
I am sitting on my hands (not selling), and if it is not too optimistic, this stock may be a possible home run.

Petroamerica (PTA, PTAXF) may be readying themselves for a big run. 

Ethiopian Potash (FED, ETPHF) has crashed lower, possibly on the decline in sentiment about potash pricing and sentiment about Ethiopia as being safe place to invest in, but they are presently drilling and should have a 43-101 within 6 months.

Westernzagros (WZR, WZRFF) is being accumulated by persons unknown and are awaiting news from Mil Qasm and Kudamir 2 (being drilled by Talsiman Energy).  This is a good longer term stock in my opinion.

Silvermex (SLX, GGCRF) will move with Silver prices higher.  They have strong management and will be able to deliver on their promises of increased production, but it will take more capital and time.

Oh, attached is my latest take on Great Basin Gold (GBG, which I have posted on Seeking Alpha.  This would be my safest longer term play.  Great management and gold production coming on-line. 


Until next time,
Marco G.

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To be on my email list, send your email address to goombarh at gmail.com.  It is that simple, and I will not disclose your address to anyone.

Monday, January 16, 2012

Genel Buys Longford; Gulf Keystone Invites Bidders

Futher Kurdistan action and news in oil sector:

In the Genel Longford deal, the market is valuing Longford shares at about .20 to .25 cents Canadian, as Longford has finalized deal.

Gulf Keystone is offering itself up for bids by selling Kurdish interests for $350-$500 million USD.

I hold Vast Explorations(TSX:VST, OTC:VSTFF) and Westernzagros (TSX:WZR, OTC:WZGRF).  Talsiman has indicated an interest in selling their Kurdistan holdings as well, I believe.  Talisman is partnered with Westernzagros.  Genel has indicated that Niko's holdings are too expensive; Niko is partnered with Vast.

Looking for my holdings to move.

The Goombarh estimates that Vast is worth just as much as Longford if not more.  Westernzagros is worth more as it is presently producing, and on the verge of annoucing further drilling news .

Marco Goombarh
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http://www.stockhouse.com/News/CanadianReleasesDetail.aspx?n=8400649

 Longford Energy Inc. Announces Kurdistan Asset Transfer to Genel Energy plc
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Jan. 16, 2012) - Longford Energy Inc. (TSX VENTURE:LFD) ("Longford" or "the Company") is pleased to announce that it has entered into a definitive sale and purchase agreement to divest its 40 per cent undivided interest in the Chia Surkh Block in the Kurdistan region of Iraq (the "Transaction") to Genel Energy plc ("Genel") which is already a 20% interest holder in the Chia Surkh Block. As part of the Transaction the Company will receive consideration of USD $68 million, of which USD $42 million cash will be paid to Longford and $26 million will be paid directly to the Kurdistan Regional Government (the "KRG") as settlement for outstanding capacity building bonus payments, and related interest, due under the Chia Surkh Block Production Sharing Contract (the "PSC").
The Company acquired a 40% interest in the PSC in 2009. The three year first exploration term of the PSC was set to expire on June 11, 2012. Under the minimum work program obligations, Longford has an outstanding commitment for the drilling of two exploration wells, and a commitment to a minimum expenditure of USD $20 million over the next 5 months, which cannot be realistically fulfilled (financially as well as operationally) in a timely manner. This expected non-performance, and the risk of contract expiration and cancellation, was a key consideration in the Transaction.
As a part of government approval for the Transaction, Longford has entered into an assignment and novation agreement with the KRG, Genel and Petoil Petroleum and Petroleum Products International Exploration and Production Inc. amending the terms of the PSC. Pursuant to this amendment, if Longford is unable to secure the requisite shareholder approval for the Transaction by March 1, 2012, Longford has agreed to assign its interest in the Chia Surkh Block back to the KRG without compensation. As consideration for this amendment, the Ministry of Natural Resources of the Kurdistan Region has indicated to Longford that it will support the Transaction when submitted for final approval to the Regional Oil & Gas Council.
Mr. Ahmed Said, President & CEO, commented, "At the time of the acquisition of its interest in 2009, the Company expected to spend in excess of USD $100 million over three years on the exploration of the Chia Surkh Block, however due to challenging market conditions Longford was not able to fully capitalize this project to meet the commitments. Given the above circumstances, I believe the Transaction represents a superior alternative for our shareholders".
As a part of the proceeds, the Company intends to issue a one-time dividend of CDN $0.10, per share, to shareholders of record after the closing of the Transaction. The remainder of funds is expected to be utilized for other international corporate development and acquisition opportunities. The Company has started a preliminary process of identifying potential assets for acquisition, including potential opportunities in Central and West Africa. The Board of Directors strongly believes that given the current prevailing market dynamics in the junior oil & gas sector, there are exceptional opportunities, in relatively stable jurisdictions, to pursue with the potential of creating significant value for its shareholders. As a part of its restructuring, the Company expects to recruit key management personnel to assist in executing its new strategy.
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Gulf Keystone sees up to $500 mln from oil stake


John Gerstenlauer, Chief Operating Officer told a Morgan Stanley investor conference that a data room on the Akri Bijeel block is to be opened next week, and that he expected 10-12 interested parties to participate.

"Gulf Keystone estimates a sale would be finalized by April, with its interest sold for $350-$500m," analysts at the investment bank said.

Gulf Keystone, which says it has found billions of barrels of oil at its Shaikan discovery, said in September it was seeking a buyer for its 20 percent interest in the Akri-Bijeel block to help finance development of other assets.

Hungary's MOL operates the Akri Bijeel block.

Jan 16 (Reuters) - UK-based oil explorer Gulf Keystone told a conference last week it expected to raise $350-$500 million from the sale of its stake in a Kurdish oil block, according to an analyst's note.

Monday, January 9, 2012

Westernzagros Updates on Kurdistan Oil drilling

http://cnrp.ccnmatthews.com/client/westernzagros/release.jsp?actionFor=1552801
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JAN 9, 2012 - 04:40 ET
WesternZagros Provides Operational Update
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Jan. 9, 2012) -
NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWSWIRE SERVICES OR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES
WesternZagros Resources Ltd. (TSX VENTURE:WZR) ("WesternZagros" or "the Company") is pleased to provide an operational update for the drilling and testing operations at Mil Qasim-1 and Kurdamir-2, and the continued production from the Sarqala-1 extended well test. 
Mil Qasim-1 Exploration Well (Garmian Block)
The Mil Qasim-1 well was cased to a depth of 2,129 metres and successfully drilled and wirelined logged to a final total depth of 2,425 metres. The planned testing program of the Upper Fars sandstone reservoir is ongoing. An initial open hole drillstem test (DST) conducted in the lowermost part of the wellbore successfully flowed oil to surface with no water. A second DST test is presently being performed in the Upper Fars within the lower part of the cased hole section. The Company plans to release final results from the testing program when it is completed.
Kurdamir-2 Exploration Well (Kurdamir Block)
The Kurdamir-2 exploration well has been drilled through the Lower Fars top seal to a depth of approximately 2,270 metres, where the third string of casing will be set above the Oligocene reservoir. Operations, to date, remain on time and on budget. WesternZagros anticipates that the drilling and testing of the Oligocene reservoir will occur in the first quarter of 2012, with the deeper Eocene and Cretaceous reservoirs expected to be drilled and tested by the end of the second quarter of 2012.
Sarqala-1 Extended Well Test (Garmian Block)
Oil production from the extended well test of Sarqala-1 continues uninterrupted, averaging over 4,000 bopd in December. This production is refined in local plants under the auspices of the Ministry of Natural Resources.
WesternZagros anticipated production from the extended well test to continue to increase in January and is currently increasing the tank capacity to optimize production and truck loading.
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WZR is being very coy about what they are doing presently.
Could this be because they are scheduled to present at quite a few oil investor's presentations in Europe over the next month?
Whatever the case, the 2012 looks rosy for Westernzagros
Jan 9, 2012
Goombarh

Kurdistan Oils Heat Up - Vast, Westernzagros

http://www.iraq-businessnews.com/tag/genel-energy/

Rumours of Genel Energy Purchase in Chia Surkh


The Sunday Times reports that Genel Energy Plc will announce a deal this week to buy a 40 percent share inLongford Energy‘s Chia Surkh oil field in northern Iraq.
According to the report, the deal would be worth $70 million, and Genel, run by the former CEO of BP, Tony Hayward, declined to comment.
Kurdistan-focused Genel, already has a 20% working interest in the Chia Surkh oil field. The prospect is believed to contain some 305.7 million barrels of oil equivalent.
(Sources: Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
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Longford is next door to Westernzagros' block. 
 
Longford is sister company to Vast Explorations.
 
The Goombarh holds both Westernzagros and Vast.
 
Looking for some good news..........sigh....
 
Jan 9, 2012
 

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

The big home run is what they get at Kudamir - Westernzagros in Kurdistan


http://www.vancouversun.com/business/Political+stability+returning+Kurdistan+industry/5746376/story.html

Calgary-based junior energy firm WesternZagros testing its Sarqala-1 well, which is now producing 2,000 barrels of oil per day in northern Iraq’s Kurdistan region.

Exxon’s entrance was six weeks after ex-BP PLC chief executive Tony Hayward’s Vallares PLC put up $2.1 billion US to acquire Kurdistan’s largest oil producer, Turkish-based Genel Energy PLC.
The political situation started improving late last year when the Kurds backed an Iraqi national government appointment in December. An oil and gas-sharing pact first drafted in 2007 between Kurdistan and Iraq now anticipated by the end of the year is expected to let oil flow from Kurdistan to other countries, lifting the price per barrel from just over $50 to the global benchmark Brent price — more than $100. The long-standing dispute over how to divide oil revenue meant majors active in Iraq couldn’t drill in the northern region of Kurdistan without penalty, limitations expected to end with the deal closing.
The Exxon development, which raised the ire of the Iraqi government, added a twist. Reuters reported that Baghdad has said any oil deals signed with the Kurdish Regional Government are illegal and has suggested the firm’s contract to develop an oilfield in south Iraq is in jeopardy.
Stevenson predicted mergers and acquisition activity will ramp up as firms look to gain a foothold in Kurdistan, which according to Bloomberg, Kurdistan’s Hawrami said could contain 40 per cent of Iraq’s 115 billion barrels of oil reserves — more than the Gulf of Mexico.
WesternZagros is about a year away from potentially becoming a takeover target, according to Calgary-based analyst Josef Schachter. The company’s highly anticipated Kurdamir-2 (K2) well, being drilled by its operator-partner on one of two Kurdistan blocks for WesternZagros, Calgary’s Talisman Energy Inc., is targeting the Oligocene carbonate reservoir, among the most prolific in Iraq.
“The big home run is what they get at Kurdamir,” Schachter said.
Schachter has a one-year target on the company’s share price of $2.10, far above the closing share price Monday of 72 cents.
WesternZagros, about 20 per cent owned by Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. (TAQA) since a share purchase late last month, reported third quarter financial results Monday, including a net loss of $2 million.
The firm is producing and selling oil in Kurdistan from its Sarqala-1 well, which it expects will produce 5,000 barrels per day before the end of 2011. WesternZagros has more than 3.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent per day of audited prospective reserves, more than half of that crude oil.


Read more: http://www.calgaryherald.com/technology/Political+stability+returning+Kurdistan+industry/5746376/story.html#ixzz1f6rKxqvM

Friday, November 25, 2011

Exxon, Iraq and Kurdistan - Future


Analysis: Exxon Kurdistan foray tests Iraq's centralist resolve

 

 

The Exxon corporate logo is pictured at one of the company's gas stations in Arlington, Virginia, August 10, 2011.  REUTERS/Jason Reed
BAGHDAD | Thu Nov 24, 2011 12:10pm EST
(Reuters) - Exxon Mobil's venture into Iraqi Kurdistan challenges Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's resolve against growing regional separatism and tests the investment strategy of the oil majors in Iraq.

In the Goombarh's opinion, it would be worthwhile to put a few Kurd oil explorers in your pocket, and await the resolving of a few political issues, which seem on the way to resolving.